Piper Jaffray’s Gene Munster- One Of The Top Analysts On Apple. Why They Believe Apple Will Be The First TRILLION $ Company.
Subject: Piper: Why We Believe Apple will be World’s First Trillion Dollar
We believe shares of AAPL will reach $1,000 in CY14, which would imply a
roughly $1 trillion dollar market cap, the first in history. While some investors
believe the biggest issue for AAPL to get to $1,000 is the market cap along with
excessive investor exuberance, which we address in this note, we believe the real
story is earnings growth.
Fundamentally, we believe shares can reach $1,000 based on
our belief Apple will continue to win in global mobile devices. As a result, we
remain confident in our $80.18 CY15 estimate. A 12x multiple (stock’s current out
year EPS multiple) on our CY15 EPS of $80.18 yields $960; however,
this excludes an Apple Television, which we believe could add more than $4 in EPS (5%) by CY15, which would yield over a $1,000 share price (12 * ~$84).
Below more details from the Piper Jaffray analyst, Gene Munster, one of the top analysts on Apple:
Apple Will Become First Trillion-Dollar Company by 2014: Analyst
Published: Tuesday, 3 Apr 2012 | 5:32 PM ET
By: Regina Hing
Thereâ€™s a lot of excitement as top analysts continue to forecast when Apple will hit $1,000 a share and becomes the first trillion-dollar company.
For Gene Munster, managing director and senior research analyst at Piper Jaffray, that day will come sometime in 2014. â€œI know that when you look at the $1,000 price tag, it looks like a big number. But when you look back and do the math â€¦ itâ€™s not that hard to get there,â€ Munster told CNBC Tuesday, referring to how Apple shares have nearly doubled in the past year alone. Munster attributes his very bullish outlook to opportunities in the mobile device space: Out of 1.6 billion total units to be made available in the market in the next couple of years, Piper Jaffray expects Apple to corner at least 400 million of the market, â€œa very achievable target.â€ This, despite stirring concerns that the new generation of products will be more â€œevolutionaryâ€ rather than revolutionary.
But Munster said that in a survey his firm conducted of iPhone users across the U.S., up to 94 percent claim they will buy another iPhone, meaning the company can count on at least 35 percent to 45 percent of sales from upgrades every year. The highly anticipated Apple television, which is expected to launch next year, adds more upside to its prospects.
What will the world with Apple is $1,000 a share look like? The tech goliath alone would represent 26 percent of total U.S. technology market cap , Research in Motion would be â€œout of business,â€ and the other manufacturers such as Nokia and Microsoft will end up â€œvirtually nothing over time,â€ according to the long-time tech analyst.
â€œItâ€™s going to be a two-horse race between Apple and Android phones built on Samsung,â€ said Munster, who raised his current target on the iPad maker from $718 to $910. Apple is “going to go and rip market share right out of [its competitors] and put that into [its] market cap.â€